Does a bidet actually pay for itself?
Works out the paper, water, fuel and risk, and shows every figure that goes into the answer.
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1 · The arithmetic
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to pay back the hardware
2 · The shortage hedge
—
never think about it again
Toilet paper is the first thing off the shelves in a storm or a scare. When that happens you pay whatever it costs, or you do without. A bidet takes you out of that market for good. The figure above prices the markup only — there is no sensible number for the years you simply cannot buy any.
Every term, shown
Everything that goes into the total, including the two terms that come to almost nothing.
| Toilet paper displaced | — | |
|---|---|---|
| Marginal emergency run avoided | — | |
| Water + sewer used | — | |
| Net, arithmetic only | — | no probabilities in this line |
| Panic-buying premium avoided expected | — | |
| Kid incident year one only | — | |
| Net saving, year one | — | includes both risk terms |
| Net saving, year two onward | — | kid incident no longer applies |
| Capital, amortized | — | |
| Net over 10 years | — |
What actually moves the answer
Each input moved ±20% with everything else held fixed. The longest bar is the input worth arguing about. Usually it is the reduction slider or the price of a roll; most of the rest barely move the total.
How the numbers are worked out
How much paper a bidet actually saves
Most people still dry with paper, which puts the real range at 60–90%. The default of 75% sits at the cautious end. Move it up if you dry with a towel. At 50% the answer usually stays positive, so the slider is worth trying at whatever figure you believe.
Why fuel barely registers
Charging a whole grocery trip to toilet paper is the usual error here. Only the extra trip after running out is counted, scaled by the same reduction slider. For most households it lands under a couple of dollars a year.
Why the water cost stays small
A bidet uses roughly 0.10–0.15 gal (0.4–0.6 L) per use, and the rate above covers water and sewer together. The default of three uses per person per day is about triple what a typical household does. Even at that setting the water cost lands at a few dollars a year against a few hundred saved.
How the two risk terms are handled
Each sits on its own row, so you can see how much of the total is estimated. The kid incident is charged to year one only. Payback is worked out month by month, so a year-one cost pushes the payback date back by the right amount.
What this leaves out
Plumbing risk, the value of your time, resale value, septic pump-out intervals, water heating on a warm-water unit, and the environmental case. Septic is real money for rural households and deserves working out separately. The shortage hedge is absent from the dollar total too, because there is no defensible figure to put on it.